Introduction:
It’s been a hard thirty years for those who believe in progressive taxation. Since the advent of President Reagan (oh yes, it’s the 30 year anniversary, expect to see a lot of annoying Republican nostalgia-trips this year), it became the conventional wisdom that taxes should always be cut, and that calling for tax increases was political suicide. Moreover, when taxes are reluctantly increased to raise revenues, they are much more likely to be regressive taxes (such as sales taxes, sin taxes, gasoline taxes, and the like) rather than progressive taxes like the income tax, on the grounds that voters approve of taxing the spendthrift and the morally suspect but not themselves.
In the wake of Obama’s election, this has begun to change somewhat – Obama’s first budget proposal included an increase in the top income tax bracket from 35% to 39.6% (the rate established in the Clinton Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993), and an increase in the second-highest income tax bracket from 33% to 36%. Likewise in the House health care bill, the major source of financing is a 5.4% income tax surcharge on individuals making $500k a year and couples making a million plus, and even the Senate health care bill at least genuflects in the direction of progressive taxation by increasing the Medicare payroll tax on those making more than $200k a year.
What’s interesting about this small resurgence of progressive taxation is how limited it is – Obama’s pledge to only raise taxes on those making $250,000 a year or more is quite startling when we realize that only the top 1.5% of the country’s households earn that much money. There’s something odd about a definition of taxing the rich that excludes 85% of the top 10%.
This suggests that, if progressives are interested in really transforming our tax system which we will need to do do accomplish the progressive social and economic policy agenda, we need to start thinking more systematically about what progressive taxation should look like.
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